ECAC Playoff Possibilities

Possibilities and commentary courtesy Bill Fenwick; formatting © 2008, Joe Schlobotnik (archives),

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See also

Clarkson (29 Points)

This Weekend
Princeton, Quinnipiac
On Their Own
Clinches first by beating Princeton, or tying Princeton and beating Quinnipiac
Best Case
First
Worst Case
Finish second if they lose to Princeton and the Tigers don't lose to St. Lawrence.
Tiebreakers
Could win or lose against Princeton

Princeton (28 Points)

This Weekend
At Clarkson, at St. Lawrence
On Their Own
Finish first with a win over Clarkson and at least a tie against St. Lawrence
Best Case
First
Worst Case
Would finish second if they lose to Clarkson.
Tiebreakers
Beats Harvard; could win or lose against Clarkson

Harvard (24 Points)

This Weekend
At Colgate, at Cornell
On Their Own
Wrap up third place with three points on the weekend
Best Case
Third
Worst Case
Fall to eighth with two losses if Colgate also beats Dartmouth, Yale sweeps, Union beats Brown, and Quinnipiac gets at least three points. This would set up a three-way tie for sixth place among Yale, Colgate, and Harvard, with the tiebreakers putting the Crimson eighth.
Tiebreakers
Beat Union and Quinnipiac; lose to Princeton; could win or lose against Cornell, Colgate, and Yale

Union (23 Points)

This Weekend
At Yale, at Brown
On Their Own
A sweep guarantees the Dutchmen fourth place
Best Case
Finish third with a sweep if Harvard gets no more than two points on the weekend.
Worst Case
Would drop to eighth if they get swept, Cornell gets at least one point, Quinnipiac gets at least two points, Yale does not lose to RPI, and Colgate sweeps.
Tiebreakers
Lose to Harvard; could win or lose against Cornell, Quinnipiac, Yale, and Colgate

Cornell (23 Points)

This Weekend
Dartmouth, Harvard
On Their Own
Finish fourth with two wins
Best Case
Get third with a sweep if Union does not win twice.
Worst Case
Fall to eighth if they lose twice, Quinnipiac gets at least two points, and Colgate and Yale sweep
Tiebreakers
Beat Quinnipiac and Colgate; could win or lose against Harvard, Union, and Yale

Quinnipiac (22 Points)

This Weekend
At St. Lawrence, at Clarkson.
On Their Own
Three points would give Quinnipiac sixth place.
Best Case
Climb to third with a sweep if Harvard gets no more than one point and Cornell and Union get no more than two points each (so either Cornell and Harvard would have to tie, or Cornell would have to beat Harvard and lose to Dartmouth).
Worst Case
Finish eighth with two losses if Yale gets at least three points and Colgate gets at least two points.
Tiebreakers
Lose to Harvard and Cornell; could win or lose against Union, Yale, and Colgate.

Yale (20 Points)

This Weekend
Union, RPI
On Their Own
Have already clinched eighth place and can do no better without help
Best Case
Clinches fourth with a sweep if Cornell loses twice, Union does not beat Brown, and Quinnipiac gets no more than one point
Worst Case
Eighth
Tiebreakers
Could win or lose against Harvard, Union, Cornell, Quinnipiac, and Colgate.

Colgate (20 Points)

This Weekend
Harvard, Dartmouth
On Their Own
Can do no better than eighth place without help
Best Case
Wrap up fourth with a sweep if Cornell loses twice, Union ties Yale and loses to Brown, and Quinnipiac gets no more than two points.
Worst Case
Eighth
Tiebreakers
Lose to Cornell; could win or lose against Harvard, Union, Quinnipiac, and Yale

Brown (13 Points)

This Weekend
RPI, Union
On Their Own
A sweep guarantees the Bears ninth place
Best Case
Ninth
Worst Case
Fall to twelfth if they lose twice, Dartmouth gets at least one point, and St. Lawrence gets at least two points.
Tiebreakers
Beat Dartmouth and St. Lawrence; could win or lose against RPI

RPI (13 Points)

This Weekend
At Brown, at Yale
On Their Own
Clinch ninth place with a sweep.
Best Case
Ninth
Worst Case
Finishes twelfth if they lose twice, Dartmouth gets at least one point, and St. Lawrence gets at least two points
Tiebreakers
Beats Dartmouth and St. Lawrence; could win or lose against Brown

Dartmouth (13 Points)

This Weekend
At Cornell, at Colgate
On Their Own
Wraps up tenth place with two wins
Best Case
Would finish ninth with a sweep if Brown and RPI tie or if the winner of that game does not win their other game.
Worst Case
Would drop to twelfth if they lose twice and St. Lawrence gets at least one point.
Tiebreakers
Lose to Brown, RPI, and St. Lawrence.

St. Lawrence (12 Points)

This Weekend
Quinnipiac, Princeton
On Their Own
Can do no better than twelfth place without help
Best Case
Rise to ninth with a sweep if Dartmouth does not win twice and the Brown-RPI winner loses its other game (if they tie, then neither can win their other game)
Worst Case
Twelfth
Tiebreakers
Beat Dartmouth; lose to Brown and RPI

Last Modified: 2019 July 24

Joe Schlobotnik / joe@amurgsval.org

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